We’re already seeing validation of some of our trends. The January issue of Wired ran two articles of note to our trends: cutting the cord and the gig economy.
About cord cutting, we said, “We expect some people not to cut the cord because it’s more complicated and not necessarily cheaper if you cut the cable cord.” In an article called “Cord-Cutting Is Gonna Suck in 2016, But It’ll Get Better,” Wired identified the same problem we did: the cost of different subscriptions services, the complications of how to access it including of when you exceed your data limit means that cord-cutting isn’t the solution you think it.
We also said the gig economy will generate coverage in 2016, and that “To pessimists, it means that people won’t have the safety net of company-provided healthcare and benefits.” Also in the January issue (and not yet available online), is an article by Jessi Hempel called, “A New Deal: Gig-Economy Workers Need Protection. Now.”
Check out the article when it becomes online.
Actually, in his Letter from the Editor, Scott Dadich identified other trends that validated ours. Dadich feels that VR will go mainstream in 2016 while we think VR will still be much more of an early adopter tech next year.
We agree with him (or he with us) that “AI comes to the everyday” (we said, “The rise of AI”). We both offered up concerns about unicorns, mostly that startups worth upwards of $1B will become on the verge of extinction — okay, that’s overstating things; it’s just going to be much more difficult for them in 2016.
And in “Autonomous driving gets serious,” Dadich agrees with us that “we won’t be handing over the steering wheel this year,” and that a big issue is “talking about regulations” — while we said the big issue isn’t the tech or safety issues but “the insurance requirements.”
So, judging by Wired, we’re doing pretty well with our predictions.
Also, check out Fast Company’s “Twenty Predictions for the Next 20 Years,” by Robert Sarfian, which has a lot of interesting good trends.
Meanwhile, by the way, we expect a lot of IoT news coming from CES next week.
Here’s to a happy New Year, and more tech validations.